17. Dallas Cowboys - K’Lavon Chaisson, 6’5”, 250lbs, DE/OLB, LSU, Jr.
04/14/20 - Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama
03/30/20 - Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama
03/23/20 - K’Lavon Chaisson, DE/OLB, LSU
03/12/20 - CJ Henderson, CB, Florida
02/07/20 - AJ Epenesa, DE, Iowa
01/29/20 - Grant Delpit, S, LSU
The Jason Garrett era in Dallas has come to an end following an 8-8 record and failing to make the playoffs for the sixth time in nine years under his tenure. In steps Mike McCarthy, an offensive mind who won Super Bowl XLV with Aaron Rodgers, so many are expecting this pick to be used on the offensive side of the ball. However, the franchise tag was used on Dak Prescott as the team works to iron out a long-term deal while WR Amari Cooper re-signed to a $100 million deal over 4 years. Now the sudden retirement of Travis Frederick opened an immediate hole at the Center position. Upon initial inspection, it felt like a huge need. However, Dallas is well stocked with potential replacements as they did re-sign Frederick’s backup Joe Looney to a one-year deal and the trio of Adam Redmond, Connor Williams and Connor McGovern all have experience at Center. Looney filled in well for Frederick when he left to battle Guillain-Barre Syndrome, anchoring the pivot as Dallas finished with a 10-6 record and an NFC East title. Let’s expect this pick to be used on the defensive side of the ball. Ha-Ha Clinton-Dix was brought in to start at free safety, but he’s likely only a one-year stopgap. Xavier McKinney has been linked to Dallas here and I also wouldn’t rule out Antoine Winfield, Jr. However, the corner position may be the bigger need in the secondary as Byron Jones is off to Miami and his loss is magnified because Chidobe Awuzi, Anthony Brown and nickel back Jourdan Lewis remain as the only experienced corners returning from a season ago. Even with CJ Henderson off the board here, Kristian Fulton, Trevon Diggs and AJ Terrell could be in play here. Two of the team’s top three in sacks, Robert Quinn and Michael Bennett, won’t be back in Big D in 2020. Dallas needs to use an early pick on an edge rusher as Tyrone Crawford is only under contract through 2020 and DeMarcus Lawrence, Dorance Armstrong and Joe Jackson are the only DE’s on the roster on the roster past this season. The Cowboys did sign DT Gerald McCoy and NT Dontari Poe to address the interior of the line, but an edge rusher like K’Lavon Chaisson would be the obvious pick here. Chaisson played in 12 games as a true freshman, starting 3, and finished with 4.5 tackles for loss and 2 sacks. He was expected to be the next great edge rusher at LSU, but those expectations had to be put on hold in 2018 when he tore his ACL in the season opener. Chaisson was able to bounce back as a junior to earn 1st Team All-SEC honors leading the Tigers with 13.5 tackles for loss and registering 6.5 sacks while also recording 60 total tackles in 13 starts. Chaisson is a long edge rusher who is very fluid turning the corner, showing excellent flexibility to dip his inside shoulder under the OT’s pad level. He wins with his hands, slapping the OT’s hands away then ripping through before flattening out to chase after the QB. His spin moves are very compact and quick, and he can change directions in a hurry without any wasted movement. Chaisson does tend to let OT’s attack his body, which makes it difficult for him to disengage. However, when he gets his hands on the OT first, he’s able to convert speed to power to drive the OT back with an impressive long arm. When LSU faced off against Georgia in the SEC Championship, Chaisson was often matched up with Andrew Thomas and he more than held his own. Chaisson won with his explosiveness – on one play he started upfield, got Thomas leaning and spin back inside with a low center of gravity to sack Jake Fromm, and on another he used speed coming off the edge to beat Thomas as the OT wasn’t even able to get his hands on Chaisson. When he let Thomas engage him and get his hands on, he would easily get driven away from the pocket. Chaisson has a nonstop motor and relentless in his pursuit of the ball. In the CFP Title Game against Clemson, Chaisson fell down, got up and beat LT Jackson Carman inside to hit Trevor Lawrence and forcing a throw well before Lawrence wanted to deliver it. Chaisson has the speed to the perimeter to chase down RB’s in the run game, but his slender frame does keep him from getting off blocks, meaning he will lose contain against the run. He’s a high character player and is a good student, making the SEC Academic Honor Roll with a 3.10 GPA as a business major. When I look at Chaisson, it’s hard not to see Barkevious Mingo, the 6th overall pick of the Browns in 2012, as both have virtually the same measurables. Mingo finished his three-year career at LSU with 29 tackles for loss and 15.0 sacks, including 15 TFL and 8.0 sacks in his sophomore season. Mingo was productive in his rookie season with 9.0 tackles for loss and 5.0 sacks, but he’s managed just 5.0 sacks in his next six seasons and has been on a total of five teams during that span. Mingo is a seven-year pro, but he hasn’t had quite the career you would expect of the 6th overall pick. Now I’m not saying Chaisson will have a similar career, but the comparisons are there, and you have to hope history doesn’t repeat itself. Chaisson has been a disruptive force while at LSU. Even when he wasn’t getting home to the QB, he was in the backfield pressuring the passer and forcing him off his mark.
18. Miami Dolphins (from Pittsburgh) - Andrew Thomas, 6’5”, 315lbs, OT, Georgia, Jr.
04/14/20 - Andrew Thomas, OT, Georgia
03/30/20 - Andrew Thomas, OT, Georgia
03/23/20 - Xavier McKinney, S, Alabama
03/12/20 - Josh Jones, OT, Houston
02/07/20 - Josh Jones, OT, Houston
01/29/20 - Josh Jones, OT, Houston
It will be interesting to see where the Dolphins go with this pick, which is their second of three in the 1st Round and was obtained from the Steelers in the Minkah Fitzpatrick trade. Miami has been busy in free agency, bringing in Byron Jones at corner, Shaq Lawson and Emmanuel Ogbah at DE, Kyle Van Noy at LB and Jordan Howard at RB, which will allow the Fins to focus on other positions. Reshad Jones has spent the last ten years at SS in Miami, but he was let go which mean the Dolphins need to find his replacement, so don’t rule out Xavier McKinney here. However, Miami will likely turn to the OT position, which is in dire need of a significant upgrade. Miami traded Laremy Tunsil and Kenny Stills to Houston for two 1st Round picks, but the move left them without a proven LT. Included in the deal was Julie’n Davenport, a developmental OT with starting experience. With Davenport lining up on one side and Jesse Davis, who is best suited inside at OG, on the other, the Dolphins gave up a league-leading 58 sacks and, according to Pro Football Focus, registered the worst time to pressure and a quick pressure rate of 33%. An upgrade is a necessity and Miami can’t leave Day One of the draft without securing a top OT. This may be a little early for Josh Jones, but if any of the top four OT’s in this draft – Tristan Wirfs, Jedrick Wills, Mekhi Becton and Andrew Thomas – happens to fall, it’s hard not to imagine this pick being used there. Thomas is a three-year starter for the Bulldogs and has experience at both OT positions. He’s a mauler in the run game, using his powerful hands to strike and beat up anyone lining in front of him. The problem is his run blocking will get top heavy, with his arms locked out and is upper body over his toes. This gets Thomas off balance and keeps him from sustaining his blocks. Thomas showed he had the agility to climb to the second level as a lead blocker for D’Andre Swift and would look to finish his man. His kick-out blocks would often clear out the left side to open holes and he had enough lateral agility to seal off the edge with a quick down block to set the edge. Thomas shows off decent feet in pass protection. When he’s balanced, he can get depth to his kick slide and will easily pick up the edge rusher. He also shows off a quick power step back inside to neutralize secondary moves. Thomas has an ability to reset his feet to anchor and improve leverage. He uses his 36 1/8-inch arms to keep rushers at a distance and when he’s more upright, he can easily mirror the defender’s movement. Thomas will often extend his arms and bend at the waist to present a more acute angle. This causes him to lean, overextend and lunge, which keeps him off balance and limits his effectiveness in pass protection. I think Thomas will be a starter on Week One, but he has to clean up some of his technique to hold up in pass protection.
19. Las Vegas Raiders (from Chicago) - AJ Terrell, 6’1”, 195lbs, CB, Clemson, Jr.
04/14/20 - AJ Terrell, CB, Clemson
03/30/20 - Antoine Winfield, S, Minnesota
03/23/20 - Grant Delpit, S, LSU
03/12/20 - Jordan Love, QB, Utah State
02/07/20 - Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama
01/29/20 - Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama
The Raiders have been busy in free agency, which makes this pick a bit tougher to project. Derek Carr is under contract through 2022 but has taken to the Raiders to the playoffs just once in his six seasons and there are serious questions whether he can lead them back under Jon Gruden. I think Carr will remain in the Silver and Black in 2020, but I don’t expect this pick to be used on Jordan Love after Marcus Mariota was brought in to compete with Carr. At LB, starter Tahir Whitehead was released while Vontaze Burfict, Kyle Wilber and Nicholas Morrow are likely free agent casualties. However, free agents Cory Littleton and Nick Kwiatkoski were signed to absorb the blow. Talented rookie edge rushers Maxx Crosby and Clelin Ferrell combined for 14.5 sacks a season ago and they get some help up front with DE Carl Nassib, who racked up 12.5 sacks the last two seasons in Tampa, and DT Maliek Collins, generated an interior push with 14.5 sacks in four seasons with the Cowboys, added to the mix. The Raider secondary also needs attention. The Raiders not only finished 29th in the league with just 9 Int., but also finished with the most 40+ yard plays (16) and its 68 plays of 20+ yards, 33 pass TD given up and 8.3 yards per reception were all the 4th highest in the league. To make matters worse, the only DB’s in the top 50 in passes defended were FS Erik Harris and rookie corner Trayvon Mullen with 11 apiece, good for a tie for 44th overall. The Raiders brought in former 1st Rounder Eli Apple, whose length is coveted by Gruden and Mayock, to start opposite Mullen, but he couldn’t agree to a contract, meaning the CB position is still a major target. Adding another CB wouldn’t be out of the realm of possibility as Trevon Diggs, a former WR, also has tremendous length and has the route recognition and ball skills needed to excel on the outside at the next level. While Jonathan Abram was selected with the 23rd overall pick in last year’s draft to take over at one safety position, a hole was created next to him now that that Karl Joseph was signed by Cleveland and while veteran Jeff Heath was signed as a free agent, he’s better suited as a backup and special teams ace. This pick felt a lot like Antoine Winfield, Jr. until the Raiders signed Damarious Randall. I think Trevon Diggs has the length and ball skills coveted by Mayock and Gruden on the outside, but with him off the board, I think Las Vegas targets AJ Terrell. Think about it, Clelin Ferrell was not on anyone’s radar as the No. 4 overall pick, yet he was highly rated on Mayock’s board. And in the 2019 draft, the Silver and Black drafted three Clemson Tigers in Ferrell, Mullen and Hunter Renfrow, all of whom made an impact as rookies. I think Mayock and Gruden go back to that Clemson pipeline, reuniting Terrell with Mullen on the outside. Yes, Terrell’s last performance in a Clemson Tiger uniform left a lot to be desired against Ja’Marr Chase and LSU, but one game can’t define a three-year career with more ups than downs. In fact, his performances in the two previous games played a pivotal role in the Tigers’ success. Against Virginia in the ACC Championship, Terrell may have only had two tackles in the game, but he excelled playing with inside leverage, repeatedly turning to run with the WR, pinning his man to the sideline, not allowing any separation, taking away an option for QB Bryce Perkins. Then in the Fiesta Bowl against Ohio State, he showed an ability to jump routes on the perimeter to be disruptive at the catch point. Terrell is a physical press corner who likes to get his hands on the receiver early to jam and reroute his man off the ball. He also does a good job in trail technique, following just off the WR hip before driving on the ball with a quick closing burst before using his length to get his hand in and make a play on the ball. Terrell can also break quickly on the ball in off coverage, but that aggressiveness can get him in trouble and susceptible to double moves. He will come downhill in run support, though he doesn’t always take the proper angle on the ball. Terrell needs to refine his footwork, has too many false steps in is play on the outside that make it difficult at times to stay in phase. He also has trouble with his balance at the top of the route and will lost contact with the WR as he’s tracking the ball to the inside. That said, he has the skillset to get him on the field and has early starter potential as a rookie.
20. Jacksonville Jaguars - Justin Jefferson, 6’1”, 202lbs, WR, LSU, Jr.
04/14/20 - AJ Epenesa, DE, Iowa
03/30/20 - AJ Epenesa, DE, Iowa
03/23/20 - AJ Epenesa, DE, Iowa
03/12/20 - Kenneth Murray, LB, Oklahoma
02/07/20 - Kenneth Murray, LB, Oklahoma
01/29/20 - Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU
The Jags’ second pick in the 1st Round was obtained from the Rams in the Jalen Ramsey trade and will likely use it to continue to address the pieces lost this offseason. After using the No. 9 pick to replace Marcel Dareus, I think the focus remains on the defensive side of the ball. The emergence of Josh Allen allowed the Jags to let go of Calais Campbell. However, the long-term future of Yannick Ngakoue is still in question. While the Jaguars did use the franchise tag on Ngakoue, I don’t see him signing a long-term deal to remain in Jacksonville beyond 2020 and there’s still the possibility he’s traded at some point this offseason. Either way, it would behoove Jacksonville to prepare for life after Ngakoue and AJ Epenesa would be on the board here. Jacksonville has yet to truly replace Jalen Ramsey after dealing him to the Rams. His absence on the roster was definitely felt last season as the Jags finished in a tie for 25th in the league in Int. with just 10. Tre Herndon led the team with 3 picks and the only other corner to pick off a pass was AJ Bouye, but he was traded to Denver. To make matters worse, all five of the corners on the roster, Herndon, DJ Hayden, Parry Nickerson, Jayson Stanley and the recently signed Raashan Melvin are free agents at season’s end. Jacksonville has to get a playmaker at corner and Trevon Diggs and Kristian Fulton will be available. However, with the No. 9 pick being used on defense, I think this pick will actually be used on the offensive side of the ball. Gardner Minshew was a revelation in Jacksonville after being drafted in the 6th Round of last year’s draft, Leonard Fournette rushed for over 1,100 yards and DJ Chark had a breakout 2019 campaign with a 1,000-yard receiving season. However, there’s talk of a possible Fournette trade and Chark and Marqise Lee are the only WR’s under contract through the 2020 season, so it’s easy to see how the focus can be on the skill positions early. If there’s any truth to the rumors that Fournette is on the block, adding a WR like D’Andre Swift or Jonathan Taylor will be in play. At WR, I don’t expect both Chris Conley and Dede Westbrook to be on the roster after the season, while Lee is a candidate to get released after season-ending injuries in back-to-back seasons. I think the Jags will turn their attention to Jefferson who, on a team with all kinds of firepower, showed a savviness in his route running, find the voids in the defense, and a knack for getting separation late before attacking the ball in the air. Jefferson was a factor in the Tigers’ passing game as a sophomore, racking up 54 catches for 875 yards and 6 TD, but like his Heisman-winning QB Joe Burrow, he elevated his game in Joe Brady’s passing attack in 2019. Jefferson led the FBS with 111 receptions and his 1,540 receiving yards and 18 TD both finished second in the country. He had eight 100-yard games, scored a TD in 11 of 15 games, including 4 multi-TD game and recorded at least 5 receptions in 13 of 15 games, including 2 with double-digit receptions. Jefferson uses a variety of moves to get a quick release off the line. He does a good job stacking the corner on vertical routes, tracks the ball well over his shoulder and will extend for the football thrown out in front of him. Jefferson is also a savvy route runner, setting up his man by selling fakes and quickly snapping off his route, sinking his hips to be very fluid in and out of his breaks to create separation. He also does a tremendous job running his routes to create space, finding voids in the defense to uncover himself. Jefferson has a tremendous catch radius, using his long 33-inch arms to extend for the ball and possesses soft hands to easily pluck the ball out of the air away from his body. He is also dynamic in the open field, showing a bit of a wiggle to set up defenders in the open field to cut away from the DB and has the straight-line speed required to run away from defenders. Jefferson is also unselfish on the perimeter, showing effort as a blocker on the edge to seal off the corner to allow RB to cut off the block and get up the field. I think he solidified his status as a 1st Round WR with his performance at the Combine as his 4.43 40 time was much faster than expected, as I was thinking he would run in the 4.5 range. Jefferson would be an upgrade over Conley and would be the ideal complement to Chark on the outside.
21. Philadelphia Eagles - Kenneth Murray, 6’2”, 241lbs, LB, Oklahoma, Jr.
04/14/20 - Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU
03/30/20 - Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU
03/23/20 - Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU
03/12/20 - Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU
02/07/20 - Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson
01/29/20 - Laviska Shenault, WR, Colorado
The Eagles may have won the NFC East and made a Wild Card appearance, but they did so with just nine wins. That wouldn’t cut it in most years. One thing Doug Pedersen needs to put a premium on is weapons for Carson Wentz who, when healthy, has proven he can play at a high level. In 2019, the top three receiving threats for Philly were two TE’s, Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert, and a RB, Miles Sanders. Additionally, Wentz was without Alshon Jeffery, Desean Jackson and Nelson Agholor for the final four games of the season due to injury. Jeffery is coming off Lisfranc surgery in December and while he’s still under contact through 2021, there is a sense that JJ Arcega-Whiteside may be his eventual replacement, though Arcega-Whiteside had a rather quiet rookie season with just 10 grabs. Jackson hasn’t played a full season since 2013 and Agholor, who did not showcase reliable enough hands to be counted on, is now with the Raiders. The Eagles need a wideout who can stretch the defense and there’s a great chance Justin Jefferson will be the pick here if he’s on the board. I think the LB position is actually the bigger need as all three starters from a year ago, Nigel Bradham, Zach Brown and Kamu Grugier-Hill, are all no longer on the roster. The team did trade for Genard Avery and Duke Riley, but Nate Gerry was an overachiever from the practice squad while TJ Edwards is an undrafted free agent who struggles in space. Philly is desperate for speed in the middle, but the organization also hasn’t drafted a LB in the 1st Round since 1979. Will this finally be the year? The LB position may actually Kenneth Murray’s athleticism is tremendous and his ability to fly around to the football as a three-down LB is a perfect match for what the Eagles want to do defensively. Murray, who racked up over 300 tackles in three seasons at OU, has sideline-to-sideline speed, an ability to penetrate the line of scrimmage and as the athleticism to run with any TE in the league. He also showed he could make plays behind the line of scrimmage with 36.5 tackles for loss, he could rush the passer, finishing with 9.5 sacks, and broke up 6 passes in coverage. Murray’s Combine performance was outstanding, running a 4.52 40, posting a 38-inch vertical leap and a broad jump of 10’9” before a hamstring injury ended his day. However, Murray’s post-Combine workouts have indicated he’s running in the 4.4’s, which is tremendously explosive for a LB. Murray is checking off all the boxes for a playmaker at the LB position. Murray struggled throughout his career with gap integrity against the run, often finding himself out of position and overpursuing the play, giving up big yards in the process. When Caleb Kelly returned to play inside, it allowed Murray to play on the outside where he could freely roam around and make plays in space. Let Murray quickly read and react and break on the football. He can shoot gaps downhill to disrupt run plays, can scrape over the top to meet RB’s off tackle and will take on blockers, stacking and shedding before wrapping up and driving through the ball carrier. His lateral quickness is tremendous, allowing him to work inside out to beat the ball carrier to the perimeter. Murray was excellent spying the QB, showing off his speed once the QB breaks the pocket to get downhill and chase down the passer. In 2019, you saw Murray play much more under control than the previous year, where he would put himself in position to make a play, but wouldn’t square up the ball carrier and wouldn’t properly break down, keeping him from making a play on the ball. Murray’s ability in coverage is apparent. He reads the QB eyes and makes quick reads to take him to the football. He will read screens and pop passes, gets downhill to split blocks on the perimeter and flies to the receiver to keep from allowing any yards after the catch. Murray is ultra-aggressive and his penchant for making plays not only gets him out of position, but he’ll get fooled and will take poor angles as a result. His lack of recognition at times makes you worry about his ability to play inside. I think Murray what is promising is his improvement in his one season under new Sooner DC Alex Grinch, so one is hopeful his development can continue. In any event, you can’t teach speed and freakish athleticism, which Murray will bring to the table in droves, something Philly has been lacking at the position for some time.
22. Minnesota Vikings (from Buffalo) - Tee Higgins, 6'4", 216lbs, WR, Clemson, Jr.
04/14/20 - Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson
03/30/20 - Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson
03/23/20 - Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson
03/12/20 - Buffalo Bills - Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson
02/07/20 - Buffalo Bills - Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU
01/29/20 - Buffalo Bills - Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson
In the second big shuffle of the 1st Round, the Bills sent the 22nd overall pick to Minnesota for WR Stefon Diggs, who was clearly unhappy with the Vikings’ continued commitment to Kirk Cousins. The Bills gain a true WR1 for Josh Allen, while the Vikings can use this pick to find Diggs’ replacement opposite Adam Thielen and this pick feels like a perfect spot for Tee Higgins. Pro Football Focus reported that in 2019, Higgins was targeted 23 times on deep balls and hauled in 15 of those passes for 565 yards. He’s a proven threat down the field, but also has a huge catch radius and is a weapon in the red zone. Higgins posted consecutive seasons with 59 receptions and finished with 25 total TD, but it was in 2019 that he eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark while averaging 19.8 yards per catch. He also had a five-game stretch in November and early December where he totaled 10 TD and his performance against Virginia in the ACC Championship was dominant, has he caught 9 passes for 182 yards and 3 TD in the victory over the Cavaliers. Higgins can win off the line with an inside release and has the suddenness to get up the field in a hurry. He will use his inside releases to set up the corner on post corner routes, using a head fake and a jab step to the inside before getting back outside. In the game against South Carolina, his move was so effective he had Israel Mukuamu turned around on a 27-yard reception. Higgins tracks the ball well and does a good job adjusting to the ball while it’s in the air. He also knows how to use his large frame to his advantage, shielding the defender from the ball. His catch radius is enormous as he extends his long arms in any direction to pluck the ball out of the air, often contorting his body to make an acrobatic catch. Against Virginia, Trevor Lawrence rolled right along the sideline and put the ball up down the line to Higgins, who fully extended out of bounds with his left toe down for a 25-yard gain. Higgins is a tremendous weapon on 50-50 balls and developed a trust with Lawrence, who would put the ball up allowing him to go up and make a play on the ball. His concentration through contact on those contested catches would be tremendous and he had the length and leaping ability to highpoint the ball. Higgins also had a knack for creating late separation from the DB with a subtle nudge before leaping away from the defender to attack the ball in the air. For as dynamic a receiver as Higgins is, he can also be a devastating blocker on the perimeter. What’s concerning about Higgins’ game is his inability to win consistently against press coverage. He struggled against talented corners to close out the season, managing just 7 receptions for 85 yards against the likes of Jeffrey Okudah, Damon Arnette, Kristian Fulton and Derek Stingley, Jr. His inability to separate from defenders vertically or with his route running has to be cause for concern and could mean Higgins has boom-or-bust potential. However, his size allows him to be an immediate weapon in the red zone and his catch radius and ability to win on jump balls are skills that are lacking in Buffalo’s receiving corps right now. If he can develop similar chemistry with Cousins that he had with Trevor Lawrence, the Vikes just might have something.
23. New England Patriots - Zack Baun, 6’2”, 238lbs, OLB, Wisconsin, Jr.
04/14/20 - Zack Baun, OLB, Wisconsin
03/30/20 - Zack Baun, OLB, Wisconsin
03/23/20 - Yetur Gross-Matos, DE/OLB, Penn State
03/12/20 - Patrick Queen, ILB, LSU
02/07/20 - Curtis Weaver, DE, Boise State
01/29/20 - Jordan Love, QB, Utah StateThe Patriots find themselves in unfamiliar territory, drafting in the early-20’s of the 1st Round and for the first time since 2000 that Tom Brady won’t be under center. Could this pick be used on a QB? Remember Jarrett Sitdham is still on the roster. I still think bringing in a veteran would make more sense at this juncture than drafting Jordan Love in Round One. That means the focus shifts elsewhere and we know the Pats must target WR’s with speed to stretch defenses down the field, but I think they can find value in the 2nd Round. TE is also a definite need, but there isn’t a TE worthy of a 1st Round selection, so expect New England to have their eye on Adam Trautman on Day 2. The offensive line could use a facelift, making OT Austin Jackson and OC Cesar Ruiz potential picks here. But this is a league where defense often wins championships and Bill Belichick likes to build his defense through early draft picks. The Pats did rack up 47 sacks, good for 7th in the league, but much of that production came from Jamie Collins (7.0), Kyle Van Noy (6.5) and Danny Shelton (3.0), all of whom will be playing elsewhere in 2020. Shelton’s replacement might be targeted later in the draft, but New England has to be on the market to replace Collins and Van Noy now and Baun, who had a breakout 2019 as a senior with 12.5 sacks for the Badgers, seems like the right fit for Coach Belichick. He shows a tremendous burst off the ball, bends very well at the hips to run the arc and gain leverage quickly on the OT and turns the corner to the QB in a hurry. He plays with active hands, attacking the OT with a quick punch and rip to get off blocks. He also has the explosiveness to transition to his secondary pass rush moves, especially with a quick spin move inside. Once Baun flattens to the QB, he is relentless in his pursuit to get to the passer. His nonstop motor would be a welcome addition to this underachieving defense. Baun also shows off some fluidity dropping into coverage, trusting his eyes and driving quickly on the ball. He also has enough athleticism to cover TE’s and RB’s out of the backfield. Baun can even set a hard edge against the run, playing with leverage and anchoring, often forcing the play back inside to the insider backers. Baun’s on-field Combine performance solidified his status as a 1st Rounder, running a 4.65 40 while also putting up 24 reps of 225 in the bench press, good for 3rd highest among LB’s, and was very smooth and fluid in the drills. However, off the field, his drug test was flagged as being diluted, though Baun said it was due to excess water intake while trying to add weight to tip the scales. Plus, Baun only has one year of top tier production, so there are red flags. However, he’s an ascending prospect who is only continuing to get better and will address a key need for the Patriots.
24. New Orleans Saints - Patrick Queen, 6’0”, 229lbs, ILB, LSU, Jr.
04/14/20 - Patrick Queen, ILB, LSU
03/30/20 - Patrick Queen, ILB, LSU
03/23/20 - Patrick Queen, ILB, LSU
03/12/20 - Laviska Shenault, WR, Colorado
02/07/20 - Jordan Love, QB, Utah State
01/29/20 - Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU
The Saints came into 2019 with high expectations after a missed defensive pass interference call likely kept them from a berth in Super Bowl LIII. Then Drew Brees tore ligaments in his right thumb Week 2 against the Rams, which required surgery that knocked him out of action for five weeks. The Saints could have folded during the span of games that Brees was out, but they went undefeated with backup Teddy Bridgewater taking over. The Saints went on to win the NFC South with a 13-3 record but were knocked out in the Divisional Playoff game against Minnesota. New Orleans fans took a huge sigh of relief when Brees announced he’d be back for the 2020 season and while Bridgewater will be gone in free agency, the Saints announced they planned to place a 1st Round tender on Taysom Hill. With the QB position out of the way, I expect this pick will be used on the WR position. Michael Thomas was absolutely dominant, finishing with 1,725 yards on 149 receptions and 9 TD. However, RB’s Alvin Kamara and Latavius Murray and TE Jared Cook finished with more receptions than the No. 2 wideout Ted Ginn, Jr., who is now 34 years of age and is a UFA. The only other WR with at least 10 receptions was Tre’Quan Smith with just 18. Adding another explosive option on the outside is a must. Brandon Aiyuk, Laviska Shenault and Denzel Mims can all come off the board here. However, the addition of reliable veteran Emmanuel Sanders would allow New Orleans to take advantage of the WR depth and wait until the second day to nab another wideout. If Patrick Queen is available at No. 24, I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s the pick and here’s why. All-Pro Demario Davis, who led the Saints with 111 tackles and racked up 4.0 sacks and had 9 QB hits last season, is back on the outside, while Kiko Alonso restructured his deal, but both are entering the final year of their contracts. Plus, AJ Klein left for Buffalo, Stephone Anthony and Manti Te’o are both UFA’s and likely aren’t back. LB is a need for the Saints and Queen’s ability to make plays anywhere on the field allows him to fill any LB spot. If you put on game film of the LSU Tigers in 2019, you couldn’t help but see # 8 flashing all over the field making plays. Now Queen is only a one-year starter, but his athleticism, physicality and playmaking ability are reminiscent of previous LSU LB’s like Devin White, Kwon Alexander and Deion Jones, all of whom have had success at the next level. Queen started the season looking out of place at times and was taking poor angles to the football. However, by the end of the season, he as a super confident ILB who always seemed to be in position to make a play. In fact, his postseason performances in the SEC Championship and the CFP playoff were tremendous, racking up 22 of his 84 tackles, 5 TFL’s and 1.5 sacks against Georgia, Oklahoma and Clemson. His last collegiate performance ended with Queen being named the Defensive Player of the Game in LSU’s win over Clemson in the title game. Queen’s speed was evident at the Combine, as his 4.5 40 time was third fastest among LB’s, which means he also has the athleticism to be an off-ball OLB. On the field, Queen diagnoses plays quickly and is very decisive in his movements, reacting in an instant without any wasted movement to the football. He has tremendous lateral agility to quickly move from gap to gap and can scrape over the top. Queen arrives at the ball carrier under control and is a physical tackler, delivering a good pop before wrapping up and driving through with his hips. He’s athletic enough to cover TE’s and RB’s and takes good angles to get into passing lanes when in zone coverage. I think Queen will be an immediate starter and can be plugged wherever he’s needed.
25. Minnesota Vikings - Antoine Winfield, 5’9”, 203lbs, S, Minnesota, Jr.
04/14/20 - Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU
03/30/20 - Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU
03/23/20 - Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU
03/12/20 - Grant Delpit, S, LSU
02/07/20 - Grant Delpit, S, LSU
01/29/20 - CJ Henderson, CB, Florida
Minnesota’s defense will look considerably different in 2020 now that DE Everson Griffen, NT Linval Joseph, S Jayron Kearse and corners Xavier Rhodes, Trae Waynes and Mackensie Alexander are all gone. While the Vikings did register 48 sacks in 2019, Danielle Hunter (14.5) and Griffen (8.5) finished with nearly half the total. Griffen spent 10 years in Minnesota and racked up 74.5 sacks while in a Viking uniform, but his release opens a big hole opposite Hunter. AJ Epenesa and Yetur Gross-Matos are obvious targets here. However, losing three of the team’s top four corners means there’s an urgent need to find a corner to start opposite Mike Hughes, the 30th overall pick of the 2018 draft and the only experience CB left on the roster. Stefon Diggs was traded away to Buffalo, would that deter the Vikings from selecting his brother Trevon? Not likely, though it might make for some awkward conversations at Viking headquarters. I think this pick may actually be used on a safety as Cleveland.com’s Mary Kay Cabot reported a trade is on the table for FS Anthony Harris. If that’s the case, then the versatile Antoine Winfield, Jr., the top safety on my draft board, would be a logical replacement. The Vikings are familiar with the bloodlines as his father Antoine Winfield, Sr. spent the final nine seasons in the Purple and Gold, racking up three Pro Bowl selections in the process. Antoine Winfield, Jr. is a ballhawk with the ability to play up on the line on one play, then in the slot the next before playing over the top as a deep safety. He’s the Swiss Army Knife of the secondary and the biggest concern was his long speed, but his 4.45 40 at the Combine eliminated the final hurdle that would keep him from Round One. Winfield, Jr. started his career with the Gophers in 2016, finishing with 52 tackles, 1 Int., 3 pass breakups and 2 fumble recoveries, one of which was returned for TD. However, hamstring and foot injuries sidelined him for the next two seasons. However, he returned to action in a big way in 2019, racking up 83 tackles and 3.5 sacks to go along with 7 Int., 2 forced fumbles and a TD. His performance garnered him unanimous 1st Team All-America honors, was a 1st Team All-Big 10 selection and was named the Big 10 Defensive Back of the Year. He’s a playmaker in the box, quickly diagnosing run plays and reacting without hesitation. His takes excellent angles to the ball carrier and is a reliable tackler in the open field. Not only will he play around the line of scrimmage against the run, but he will also come from depth shooting downhill through the A gap to put pressure on the QB. Winfield, Jr. is a savvy blitzer, delaying his move off the edge which will allow him to get a jump on blockers. Winfield, Jr. does a tremendous job with route recognition as the deep safety and will read the QB eyes that will allow him to get a good jump on the ball. His angles over the top allow him to undercut routes to make a play on the football. Some have worried about whether he could cover receivers in the slot, but he proved to have the long speed required to be effective. Winfield, Jr. has tremendous ball skills, timing his jumps to attack the catch point to make a play on the ball. Now, he lacks ideal size for the position and there is some stiffness in his movements, but his high football IQ more than make up for any physical limitations. He’s the most versatile Safety in this draft, which I expect would be very intriguing for Mike Zimmer.
26. Miami Dolphins (from Houston) - D’Andre Swift, 5’8”, 212lbs, RB, Georgia, Jr.
03/30/20 - D'Andre Swift, RB, Georgia
03/23/20 - Josh Jones, OT, Houston
03/12/20 - Zack Baun, OLB, Wisconsin
02/07/20 - Zack Baun, OLB, Wisconsin
01/29/20 - K'Lavon Chaisson, OLB, LSU
If the Dolphins can land one of the top four OT’s in the draft at no. 18, it will give Miami some flexibility with this pick. However, if the Fins trade up to land a top OT, this pick will likely be traded away. This pick is ore of a projection of what Miami may target on Day 2. Adding Xavier McKinney to replace Reshad Jones wouldn’t be out of the question, but the RB position needs an upgrade as Kalen Ballage and Myles Gaskin were the top returning RB’s. Jordan Howard was signed in free agency from Philadelphia, but he’s more of a complementary back at this stage. Enter D’Andre Swift, who is the most complete RB in this year’s draft. Swift has shared the Georgia backfield with the likes of Nick Chubb, Sony Michel and Elijah Holyfield and still found a way to shine when he got his touches. As a freshman, Swift may have played behind Chubb and Michel, but he still managed 618 yards on just 81 carries with 3 TD and his 17 receptions left him with the fourth-highest total. In 2018, he shared the backfield with Holyfield and both backs finished with over 1,000 yards on the ground Swift found the end zone 10 times. He also caught 32 passes out of the backfield, which was second on the team. Finally, as a junior, the backfield was his as the starter and he racked up 1,218 yards with 7 TD on just 196 carries and hauled in another 24 passes. What sets Swift apart from the other backs in this draft is the lack of wear on his legs. His 513 offensive touches are significantly lower over the last three seasons than the other top two backs in the draft, Jonathan Taylor (968) and JK Dobbins (796). Swift is known for his tremendous vision and his feel between the tackles, often seeing the cutback lane as he presses the line of scrimmage and once he finds the hole, he puts his foot in the ground and explodes to the hole. His lateral cuts in the hole are lethal, making defenders miss without losing any speed. Swift also has the burst to get to the edge in a hurry, will either make defenders miss in the open field or will use his power to lower his shoulder, deliver a strong stiff arm or step out of tackles to get extra yards. If Swift gets into the open field, he uses his sub-4.5 speed to make a big play. Ball security was seen as a weakness of his as seven total fumbles on less touches means a higher fumble rate. However, after losing a fumble against Mississippi State in the fourth game of his freshman year, Swift lost just one other fumble in over 450 touches before losing two fumbles against Georgia Tech in the final regular season game this past season, though one came from a well-timed hit on the football by LB Quez Jackson and the other on a play that saw Swift injure his shoulder. What will make him a breakout candidate in 2020 though will be his hands. Swift is a natural pass catcher with soft hands to pluck the ball out of the air. His crisp route running allows him to separate from LB’s and he does a good job securing the catch before getting up the field. Swift’s game isn’t without flaws. He does try to do too much trying to avoid defenders in the open field, whether it’s with multiple spin moves or too much lateral movement, at some point he just needs to get north and south for positive yards. Swift also needs to improve his pass protection as he was often taken out in favor of Brian Herrien on 3rd downs as a result. I expect Swift to be an immediate starter and just might have the same type of impact with the Dolphins during his rookie season in 2020 that Josh Jacobs had for the Raiders this past year.